A variety of factors has led to a lower than normal chance of flooding this year. State climatologist Harry Hillaker says that the National Weather Service puts south central Iowa at a 25% lower chance of severe flooding than normal years. Hillaker says that the Des Moines River basin is slightly lower than normal levels, and area reservoirs are at preferred levels. Hillaker says the hot weather in late summer and dry fall weather have contributed to the lesser chance of flooding. He notes that the current conditions aren’t a guarantee that we won’t have flooding, but the odds are against it.